Prévisions aérologiques pour la journée du Dimanche 05/04

Dernière mise à jour Arome (apresdemain) du 03/04 à 21h45
Données de référence slot du 03/04 à 17h

Fichier grib2 Arome (12h)
Fichier pdf cartes Arome (12h)
Fichier pdf émagrammes Arome (12h)

Données altimétriques :

QNH moyen = 1023hpa QNH min = 1023hpa
FL65 = 6769ft = 2063m
FL115 = 11769ft = 3587m
FL130 = 13269ft = 4044m

Données aérologiques (heure par heure) :

42.910°N 02.055°E
Puivert		05-04-2026
09:00 LOC		05-04-2026
10:00 LOC		05-04-2026
11:00 LOC		05-04-2026
12:00 LOC		05-04-2026
13:00 LOC		05-04-2026
14:00 LOC		05-04-2026
15:00 LOC		05-04-2026
16:00 LOC		05-04-2026
17:00 LOC		05-04-2026
18:00 LOC		05-04-2026
19:00 LOC		05-04-2026
20:00 LOC
Plafond convection--666 m892 m1214 m1280 m1391 m1542 m1546 m1356 m681 m-
Vz convection--0.5 m/s-1.1 m/s1.2 m/s1.2 m/s1.2 m/s1.1 m/s0.8 m/s0.1 m/s-
CAPE25 J/kg17 J/kg18 J/kg17 J/kg30 J/kg25 J/kg21 J/kg35 J/kg52 J/kg32 J/kg19 J/kg12 J/kg
Flux solaire134 W/m²326 W/m²512 W/m²665 W/m²775 W/m²830 W/m²825 W/m²761 W/m²642 W/m²482 W/m²295 W/m²108 W/m²
Chaleur sensible-18 W/m²-4 W/m²26 W/m²-71 W/m²73 W/m²71 W/m²61 W/m²44 W/m²20 W/m²-0 W/m²-2 W/m²
Couverture nuageuse (haute)100 %100 %99 %97 %84 %85 %27 %7 %1 %0 %0 %0 %
Couverture nuageuse (moyenne)0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %
Couverture nuage (basse)0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %0 %
Cumul de précipitations0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h0.00 mm/h
Vent (10m)186 °
2 km/h		109 °
1 km/h		073 °
3 km/h		066 °
3 km/h		029 °
4 km/h		360 °
5 km/h		347 °
5 km/h		330 °
5 km/h		034 °
4 km/h		045 °
3 km/h		024 °
2 km/h		233 °
2 km/h
Vitesse absolue des rafales (10m)7 km/h5 km/h7 km/h9 km/h13 km/h15 km/h14 km/h14 km/h13 km/h12 km/h9 km/h6 km/h
Température (2m)10.8°C14.8°C17.1°C18.4°C19.6°C20.1°C20.6°C20.7°C20.7°C20.3°C19.6°C17.6°C
Point de rosée (2m)5.8°C8.6°C9.2°C9.6°C9.9°C10.4°C11.0°C11.4°C11.8°C11.2°C12.0°C13.2°C
Ecart température-point de rosée (2m)5.1°C6.2°C7.9°C8.8°C9.7°C9.8°C9.5°C9.3°C8.9°C9.1°C7.6°C4.5°C
Pression MSL1022.8 hPa1023.2 hPa1023.6 hPa1023.7 hPa1023.5 hPa1023.2 hPa1022.9 hPa1022.6 hPa1022.6 hPa1022.8 hPa1023.0 hPa1023.4 hPa
Humidité relative (2m)71 %66 %60 %57 %54 %53 %54 %55 %57 %56 %62 %75 %
Humidité relative (850hpa)42 %39 %49 %52 %52 %51 %51 %53 %53 %45 %43 %45 %
Vent (850hpa)288 °
18 km/h		298 °
19 km/h		302 °
19 km/h		296 °
18 km/h		288 °
14 km/h		294 °
11 km/h		320 °
9 km/h		325 °
8 km/h		316 °
8 km/h		317 °
12 km/h		320 °
13 km/h		320 °
11 km/h
Vent (700hpa)272 °
6 km/h		239 °
6 km/h		225 °
9 km/h		232 °
12 km/h		244 °
15 km/h		245 °
18 km/h		258 °
19 km/h		260 °
20 km/h		262 °
20 km/h		262 °
22 km/h		262 °
23 km/h		262 °
23 km/h
Altitude géopotentielle (700hpa)3152 m3155 m3158 m3161 m3161 m3161 m3161 m3160 m3160 m3161 m3161 m3162 m
Altitude géopotentielle (600hpa)4369 m4372 m4375 m4377 m4377 m4377 m4376 m4375 m4375 m4376 m4377 m4378 m
Energie cinétique turbulente (1500m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (1250m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (1000m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (750m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.3 m²/s²0.3 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (500m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.3 m²/s²0.3 m²/s²0.3 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.2 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²
Energie cinétique turbulente (250m)0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.1 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.6 m²/s²0.5 m²/s²0.2 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²0.0 m²/s²


Conversions: 850hpa=1500m / 800hpa=2000m / 700hpa=3000m / 600hpa=4200m


Prévision des plafonds à Puivert (par rapport à la mer) :

HeurePlafond
(m)		TypeCIN
(J/kg)		Saturation
(m)
9h500Bleu01140
10h500Bleu01290
11h590Bleu01490
12h740Bleu01610
13h1000Bleu861710
14h1100Bleu531730
15h1150Bleu281690
16h1340Bleu171670
17h1350Bleu171610
18h500Bleu381630
19h500Bleu541450
20h500Bleu991060

Meilleurs plafonds (par rapport à la mer) :

LieuHeurePlafond
(m)		TypeCIN
(J/kg)
Puivert17h1350Bleu17
Mirepoix16h1000Bleu54
Foix16h1480Bleu20
Lavelanet17h1490Bleu15
StGirons17h1710Bleu15
Pamiers17h1420Bleu31
Espezel14h1780Bleu4
Quillan16h1580Bleu17
Limoux17h1170Bleu0
Axat16h1440Bleu17
Llagonne14h2970Nuage
Alp16h2800Nuage

Situation à 13h :






Situation au pic de convection (vz max à 16h) :














Emmagramme meilleur plafond (17h) :


Plus forte instabilité sur zone (17h) :

La CAPE moyenne sur zone est de 246 J/kg pour un maximum de 1230 J/kg
Relevement du maximum : 245° pour 23 km
Indices max : LI=-4(orages modérés possibles) SI=-4(air instable) KI=36(proba orage 80-90%) TT=57 SWEAT=293 CAPE=866 CIN=-6


Analyse onde (zone proche puivert)

Accroche à 2000m

HeureVent
(km/h)		MotifVzconv
(m/s)		 Distance
(km)		NbreVzmax
(m/s)		Score
09h298°/17(19)3/0.11100.2 0.4
10h306°/16(19)3|0.1300.2 0.7
11h304°/14(18)3|0.1500.1 0.5
12h290°/12(15)3-0.1800.1 0.5
13h270°/10(15)3|0.1600.2 0.6
14h261°/10(16)3|0.1600.2 0.7
15h260°/9(16)2X0.11100.2 0.4
16h270°/9(15)3-0.11700.2 0.3
17h279°/9(16)2X0.1600.1 0.6
18h292°/9(15)3/0.11000.1 0.4
19h304°/11(15)3-0.1800.2 0.6
20h304°/9(14)3-0.1700.1 0.6

Ressaut à 3000m

HeureVent
(km/h)		MotifVzconv
(m/s)		 Distance
(km)		NbreVzmax
(m/s)		Score
09h273°/6(7)3/0.01000.0 0.3
10h240°/6(8)3-0.01300.0 0.2
11h225°/9(10)3|0.0400.0 0.5
12h232°/12(14)3\0.01100.0 0.2
13h242°/15(17)3|0.11200.1 0.3
14h246°/17(19)3-0.21400.3 0.5
15h255°/18(20)3-0.11200.2 0.5
16h258°/19(21)3|0.1900.2 0.5
17h259°/20(23)2X0.21300.2 0.5
18h258°/21(23)3|0.11200.2 0.4
19h259°/22(23)3/0.1600.1 0.5
20h260°/22(24)3|0.0300.1 0.6